The Signal That Flagged WTI's Wild Week

This post explores the 2026 Hormuz crisis. The prior day’s count of Iran-and-oil articles forecast how much WTI would move over the following five sessions—above and beyond OVX. Heavy-coverage weeks averaged 19.8% of cumulative WTI movement, versus 11.5% in quiet weeks. The news count is useful for screening straddles, managing gamma exposure, and sizing directional positions.